Prediction of Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Pierre Delage at M15 Lima 12-06-25

• Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has slightly better recent second serve stats, winning 44.39% of points compared to Pierre Delage's 43.91%. Could this give him an edge?
• In return games, Pierre Delage leads by winning 48.91% of his opponent's second serve points, while Lorenzo achieves 44.39%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Lorenzo holds a 28.35% success rate over Pierre's 25.27%.
• Under pressure, Lorenzo saves 49.14% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Pierre's 47.89%.
• The last year's performance shows Lorenzo winning 65.33% of matches (49/26), whereas Pierre won 62.50% (35/21).
• Surface preference indicates Lorenzo excels on Clay with a 65% win rate, contrasted by Pierre's best on I.hard at 65%.
• At the $10K tournament level, Lorenzo shows a higher win rate of 75.51% compared to Pierre's 65.31%.
• Opponent quality played factors in, as Lorenzo faced an average rank of 434.6, while Pierre's opponents had an average rank of 349.91, potentially indicating tougher competition for Pierre.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Lorenzo clinches 65% of them, surpassing Pierre's 58% success rate.
• Break point conversion favors Lorenzo, who converts 35.90% of opportunities against Pierre's 32.08%.

Editorial Prediction (December 6, 2025, UTC):

Both players bring strengths to the court, but Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez showcases slight superiority in certain key areas. His better performance on second serve points, breakpoint saves, and deciding set wins may tilt the odds in his favor.

Pierre Delage, on the other hand, demonstrates stronger return stats against opponents' second serves and has competed against more challenging opponents by rank. This experience could be invaluable.

Considering Lorenzo's clay court prowess and general match win rate advantage, he is positioned as the probable favorite in this upcoming encounter.

Therefore, based on the analysis above, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is more likely to secure victory in this match.